Alina Charaeva vs Lena Couto Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Charaeva shows stronger recent form in second serve performance, winning 39.04% of points compared to Couto's 31.91%. How crucial is this stat? It often correlates highly with predicting match outcomes.
• In terms of return game stats, Couto has a slight edge on returning second serves at 54.26%, whereas Charaeva has the advantage on first serve returns with 34.83% efficiency.
• Under pressure, Charaeva saves 46.51% of breakpoints, outperforming Couto's 43.94%—a decisive factor for live betting scenarios.
• In overall performance over the last year, Charaeva has won 61.45% of matches, significantly higher than Couto's 12.5%. How does this affect their head-to-head comparison? The substantial difference hints at a clear edge.
• Charaeva excels on hard surfaces with a 67% win rate, while Couto's preferred surface is clay, albeit at a modest 33% success rate. Notably, their worst performances overlap with hard courts for Couto at 6%.
• Charaeva's experience and success in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with a 61.73% win rate, starkly contrasts with Couto's 14.29% performance in the similar tier.
• In direct encounters, Charaeva leads 1-0, having won both sets in their prior match without extending to a deciding set.
• Average match duration between the two has been 1 hour and 25 minutes, with no deciding sets or tiebreakers played thus far.
• Against similar-level opponents recently, Charaeva and Couto face players with comparable average rankings, suggesting a level playing field in terms of competition faced.
• If a deciding set is reached, Charaeva's 55% success rate over the past year positions her as a favorite, given Couto's lack of success in similar situations.
• Charaeva also exhibits superior breakpoint conversion at 39.25%, offering strategic insights for in-game evaluations over Couto's 31.11% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (July 14, 2025, UTC):

In a comprehensive assessment of their recent performances, Alina Charaeva has consistently demonstrated stronger match results, particularly in second serve efficacy and under high-pressure scenarios, such as breakpoint opportunities and ensuing conversions.

Couto has shown resilience in returning second serve points, indicating some potential areas of strength; however, this does not sufficiently offset Charaeva's all-around superior performance statistics.

When factoring in match experience and surface preference, Charaeva's record highlights a significant advantage on hard courts, where the upcoming match is scheduled to take place.

Based on these analyses, Alina Charaeva is positioned as the likely winner for the upcoming tennis match, equipped with both statistical superiority and favorable historical context.